DAILY COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY-1 July 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper rose, capping the biggest quarterly advance since September, as gains in the housing market signaled higher demand in the U.S., the world’s second-largest consumer.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate traded near the lowest price in more than two weeks amid speculation that escalating violence in Iraq won’t disrupt supply from OPEC’s second-biggest oil producer. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold traded near the highest level since March after assets in the SPDR Gold Trust increased and investors weighed the outlook for growth and interest rates in the U.S. before manufacturing data.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Manufacturing PMI, HSBC Final Manufacturing PMI, Cash Rate, RBA Rate Statement, Manufacturing PMI, Treasury Sec Lew Speaks, Final Manufacturing PMI, ISM Manufacturing PMI, Construction Spending m/m, IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism, ISM Manufacturing Prices, Total Vehicle Sales.

AGRI COMMODITY	BULLION COMMODITY
CS CHANA (JULY) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:2875 SUP2:2818 RESIST1:2935 RESIST2:3000 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS	CS COPPER (AUG) OVERVIEW: TREND BULLISH SUP1:425 SUP2:422 RESIST1:434 RESIST2:440 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CS JEERA (JULY) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:11150 SUP2:11000 RESIST1:11500 RESIST2:11700 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS	CS CRUDE (JULY) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:6340 SUP2:6300 RESIST1:6420 RESIST2:6500 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CS TURMERIC (JULY) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:6500 SUP2:6350 RESIST1:6700 RESIST2:6850 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS	CS GOLD (AUG) OVERVIEW: TREND BULLISH SUP1:27750 SUP2:27490 RESIST1:28020 RESIST2:28300 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CS SOYABEAN (JULY) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:4050 SUP2:4000 RESIST1:4135 RESIST2:4205 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS	CS SILVER (JULY) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:43800 SUP2:43000 RESIST1:45000 RESIST2:45700 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS

INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK-1 July 2014

INDIAN BENCHMARK open on a positive note tracking firm global cues. Oil marketing companies are likely to remain in focus after the government hiked the price petrol by Rs Rs 1.69 per litre and Diesel by 50 paise.

FURTHER, Shriram Transport Finance Company is set to raise Rs 3,000 crore through a public issue of secured, redeemable non-convertible debentures. Union Bank of India has proposed to raise Rs 1,386 crore through Qualified Institutional Placement to fund its business growth.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Monday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 181cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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ROCKING PERFORMANCE OF THE DAY

STOCK FUTURES:

FUTURES INTRADAY:

UPL LTD FUTURES BUY CALL 3 TG

ANDHRA BANK FUTURES BUY CALL 3 TG

CESC FUTURES BUY CALL 3 TG

BHARAT FORGE FUTURES BUY CALL 3 TG

IGL FUTURES BUY CALL 2 TG

RELIANCE CAPITAL FUTURES BUY CALL 1 TG

PREMIUM FUTURES:

UPL LTD FUTURES BUY CALL 3 TG

OPTION:

RANBAXY 500 CALL BUY CALL 3 TG

CANARA BANK 450 CALL BUY CALL 3 TG

RELIANCE INFRA 770 CALL BUY CALL 2 TG

BANK NIFTY 15000 CALL BUY CALL 2 TG

OPTION PREMIUM:

TCS 2400 CALL BUY CALL 

STOCK CASH:

STOCK CASH INTRADAY

SYNDICATE BANK BUY CALL 3 TG

IGL BUY CALL 2 TG

RELIANCE CAPITAL BUY CALL 1 TG 

CEAT LTD BUY CALL 1 TG
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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET WRAP UP-30 June 2014

INDIAN BENCHMARKS edge higher… power and capital goods drive the rally.

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS maintained its momentum supported by heavy buying in financials, infra and power shares amid strong global cues. Fiscal deficit figures for the month of May and auto numbers for the month of June will be announced today.

Further, Ranbaxy rose 3% extending its Friday’s 5% rally, after US Food and Drug Administration's nod for generic version of Novartis blood pressure drug Diovan. Cipla surged 0.8% after signing a definitive agreement to acquire a 51% stake in a pharmaceuticals manufacturing and distribution business in Yemen (owned by a UAE-based parent company) for $21 million.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7625 and above this 7665. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7530 and next support will be 7480.

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TOP CORPORATE NEWS-30 June 2014

Sun Pharma at record high as Taro gains 17% post price hike
Shares of Sun Pharma up 3 percent after Taro rallied 17 percent in the US markets, reacting to its price hike of 11 products. Sun Pharma owns a 70 percent stake in Taro.

ONGC to invest Rs 5,700 cr in Mumbai High North development
Oil and Natural Gas Corp will invest over Rs 5,700 crore in redevelopment of its giant Mumbai High (North) oil and gas field off the west coast.

HDIL gains 4% on Citigroup stake buy
Housing Development & Infrastructure Ltd has moved higher by 4% as Citigroup bought 4 million shares of the Mumbai-based real estate developer for about Rs 38 crore through open market.

Union Bank surges 6%, shareholders' approval for QIP
Shares of Union Bank of India rallied as much as 5.6 percent after its shareholders approved raising of capital up to Rs 1,386 crore via qualified institutional placement.

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DAILY COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY-30 June 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper headed for its steepest rally in three quarters ahead of data tomorrow that may show industrial output sustained expansion in China, the biggest user. Nickel is set for the biggest quarterly gain since 2010.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate and Brent crude fell amid speculation that continuing violence in Iraq won’t disrupt supply from OPEC’s second-largest oil producer.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold headed for a second quarterly increase as investors weighed the outlook for the U.S. economy and low interest rates against signs of weaker physical demand. Silver extended a drop from the highest level since March.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: ANZ Business Confidence, CPI Flash Estimate y/y, GDP m/m, Chicago PMI, Pending Home Sales m/m.

AGRI COMMODITY	BULLION COMMODITY
CS CHANA (JULY) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:2818 SUP2:2747 RESIST1:2935 RESIST2:3000 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS	CS COPPER (JUNE) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:415 SUP2:412 RESIST1:420 RESIST2:424 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CS JEERA (JULY) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:11150 SUP2:11000 RESIST1:11360 RESIST2:11500 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS	CS CRUDE (JULY) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:6340 SUP2:6300 RESIST1:6420 RESIST2:6500 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CS TURMERIC (JULY) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:6350 SUP2:6300 RESIST1:6580 RESIST2:6700 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS	CS GOLD (AUG) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:27600 SUP2:27490 RESIST1:27900 RESIST2:28300 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CS SOYABEAN (JULY) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:3950 SUP2:3890 RESIST1:4050 RESIST2:4100 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS	CS SILVER (JULY) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:44100 SUP2:43000 RESIST1:45000 RESIST2:45700 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS

INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK-30 June 2014

INDIAN BENCHMARK started on a strong note with the Sensex and Nifty up 0.5% each in opening trades. The early gains were lead by financials and ITC.

FURTHER, Reliance Industries Ltd along with its partner British Petroleum is planning to invest about Rs 800 crore to carry out exploratory drilling in an offshore block in the Bay of Bengal, off the Tamil Nadu coast. Oil and Natural Gas Corp will invest over Rs 5,700 crore in redevelopment of its giant Mumbai High (North) oil and gas field off the west coast.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Friday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 172cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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WEEKLY EQUITY REPORT-23 June 2014 To 28 June 2014

INDIAN BENCHMARKS ended down for the second consecutive week on profit-taking after touching record highs on June 11 and worries over escalating tensions in Iraq. However, a continued rise in crude oil prices would be negative for India's current account, rupee and inflation. The M ay WPI inflation increased to 6.01% from 5.2% in April. Reliance Industries to start offering next year fourth-generation telecommunications services as the energy major seeks to boost revenue from new business areas. Cipla collaborated with Hetero Drugs to launch a biosimilar version of ‘Darbepoetin alfa’ under the brand name Actorise.The INDIAN BENCHMARKS SENSEX ended 100 point down at 25100 and the 50-share NIFTY closed 29 point down at 7511.

ASIAN STOCKS held steady, showing stability after sharp gains in the previous session.

U.S. STOCKS finished higher in a session void of major economic indicators, as investors digested the Federal Reserve's somewhat dovish Wednesday policy statement and traded on sentiments that borrowing costs will remain low for some time to come.

EUROPEAN STOCKS were steady, as the Federal Reserve's latest policy statement continued to support market sentiment, while concerns over ongoing violence in Iraq persisted.

INDIAN INDICES are expected to remain range bound as investors await clarity on monsoon and upcoming budget before taking fresh positions amid Iraq conflict led risk aversion.Further, Stocks linked to monsoon driven rural sectors such as Mahindra and Mahindra and Hero MotoCorp, Dabur India, and Hindustan Unilever, shares would be on watch.News flow on gas pricing and power sector reforms would also be on watch.

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ROCKING PERFORMANCE OF THE DAY

STOCK FUTURES:

FUTURES INTRADAY:

ADANIENT FUTURES SELL CALL 3 TG

ADANIENT FUTURES 2ND SELL CALL 3 TG

CENTURY TEXTILE FUTURES BUY CALL 2 TG

CESC FUTURES BUY CALL 2 TG

PREMIUM FUTURES:

BHARAT FORGE FUTURES BUY CALL 2 TG

OPTION:

TECH MAHINDRA 2050 CALL BUY CALL 2 TG

STOCK CASH:

STOCK CASH INTRADAY

HAVELLS INDIA BUY CALL 3 TG

HDIL BUY CALL 2 TG

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET WRAP UP-27 June 2014

INDIAN BENCHMARKS end flat, amid choppy trade.

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS ended flat, amid a choppy trading session, as investors turned cautious on concerns that the weak monsoon would further accelerate inflation while the continuing crisis in Iraq also weighed on sentiment.

Further, Reliance Capital ended up 1.7% on a report that Japan's Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings Inc may buy 10% stake in the Anil Ambani-owned company by paying $400 million for new shares. Dr Reddy's Labs closed 1.7% higher after the pharma major launched duloxetine delayed-release capsules USP 20 mg, 30 mg and 60 mg in the US market.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7570 and above this 7595. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7480 and next support will be 7440.

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TOP CORPORATE NEWS-27 June 2014

Ranbaxy, Sun Pharma up 6-8% on US FDA nod
Shares of Ranbaxy and Sun Pharma are gaining investors attention on US FDA approval and price hike of drugs. Ranbaxy and Sun Pharma jumped 8 percent and 6 percent respectively, both hitting 52-week high.

Blast at a GAIL gas pipeline in Andhra Pradesh
Fourteen people have been reportedly killed and several have been injured in an explosion that occurred at an 18-inch pipeline of GAIL near an ONGC refinery complex in Nagaram in the East Godavari district in Andhra Pradesh.

Havells India gains 8% ahead of board meet for stock split
Havells India has surged 8% ahead of board meeting on Monday to consider sub-division of equity shares of face value of Rs 10 a share to a lower denomination.

Tech Mahindra stock up 3%
Shares of Tech Mahindra were up 3% after the company signed strategic alliance with Finland-based Comptel.

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DAILY COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY-27 June 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper fell, paring a second weekly advance, amid concern that demand to use metals as collateral for loans may decline in China and as a Federal Reserve official signalled U.S. interest rates could rise by March. Zinc rose, trading near a 16-month high, as inventories in warehouses tracked by the London Metal Exchange declined amid signs of improving demand.

ENERGY WRAP: Natural gas futures posted the biggest one-day drop in seven weeks after U.S. stockpiles increased more than forecast last week. Brent and West Texas Intermediate crudes headed for the first weekly declines since violence erupted in northern Iraq, as the crisis has so far spared oil output from OPEC’s second-largest producer.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold traded below a two-month high, on course for the first back-to-back quarterly advance since 2011, as investors assessed the outlook for borrowing costs in the U.S. and physical demand.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Trade Balance, German Prelim CPI m/m, Current Account, Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment, Revised UoM Inflation Expectations.

AGRI COMMODITY	BULLION COMMODITY
CS CHANA (JULY) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:2788 SUP2:2760 RESIST1:2876 RESIST2:2935 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS	CS COPPER (JUNE) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:415 SUP2:412 RESIST1:423 RESIST2:424 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CS JEERA (JULY) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:11150 SUP2:11000 RESIST1:11350 RESIST2:11500 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS	CS CRUDE (JULY) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:6340 SUP2:6300 RESIST1:6450 RESIST2:6500 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CS TURMERIC (JULY) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:6316 SUP2:6164 RESIST1:6550 RESIST2:6640 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE	CS GOLD (AUG) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:27400 SUP2:27100 RESIST1:27900 RESIST2:28300 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CS SOYABEAN (JULY) OVERVIEW: TREND BEARISH SUP1:3890 SUP2:3845 RESIST1:4020 RESIST2:4050 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE	CS SILVER (JULY) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:43840 SUP2:43000 RESIST1:45000 RESIST2:45700 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS

INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK-27 June 2014

INDIAN BENCHMARK have rebounded in trades and have started the July series on a higher note.

FURTHER, Coal India has signed fuel supply pacts with power plants for a capacity of 73,075 MW. Ranbaxy Laboratories received the US Food and Drug Administration approval to sell a generic version of Novartis’s hypertension medicine Diovan

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Wednesday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 433cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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ROCKING PERFORMANCE OF THE DAY

STOCK FUTURES:

FUTURES INTRADAY:

TATA MOTORS DVR FUTURES SELL CALL 3 TG

UPL LTD FUTURES BUY CALL 3 TG

ARVIND LTD FUTURES BUY CALL 3 TG

PFC FUTURES SELL CALL 3 TG

BIOCON FUTURES BUY CALL 2 TG

PREMIUM FUTURES:

ARVIND LTD FUTURES BUY CALL 3 TG

NIFTY FUTURES:

BANK NIFTY FUTURES SELL CALL 3 TG

OPTION:

ARVIND LTD 220 CALL BUY CALL 3 TG

AUROBINDO PHARMA 740 CALL BUY CALL 3 TG

BANK NIFTY PUT BUY CALL 3 TG

STOCK CASH:

STOCK CASH INTRADAY

ARVIND LTD BUY CALL 3 TG

ABAN OFFSHORE BUY CALL 3 TG

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET WRAP UP-26 june 2014

INDIAN BENCHMARKS end lower on June F&O expiry

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS ended 1% lower following the expiry of June F&O series dragged down by oil shares after the government defers its decision on gas price hike by three months till December 31, 2014.

Further, ITC marginally positive after Morgan Stanley upgraded the stock to overweight from equal-weight and increased the price target to Rs 400 rupees from Rs 360. Aban Offshore closed nearly 5% up after Macquarie upgraded the stock from underperform to outperform and raised its target to Rs 1,090 from Rs 430.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7570 and above this 7595. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7480 and next support will be 7440.

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TOP CORPORATE NEWS-26 June 2014

 

Coal India yet to sign fuel supply pacts for 4925 MW
Coal India has so far signed fuel supply pacts with power plants for a capacity of only 73,075 MW. The coal and power ministries are now under one Minister- Piyush Goyal.

L&T Technology Services buys 74% stake in Thales Software
L&T Technology Services, a unit of Larsen and Toubro Ltd has acquired a 74% equity stake in Thales Software India Pvt. Ltd, to strengthen its avionics business.

Dewan Housing Finance jumps after ratings upgrade by CARE
Dewan Housing Finance Corporation surged 6.49% after CARE has up-graded the ratings assigned to the long term bank facilities and other instruments/securities of the company.

Crompton up 3%, FICG consortium bags offshore wind project
Shares of  Crompton Greaves gained as much as 3.2 percent after the Avantha Group company along with the other consortium partners Fabricom and Iemants has been selected by Van Oord, for the offshore wind project 'Gemini' in the Netherlands.

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DAILY COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY-26 June 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper advanced for a ninth straight session in New York, capping the longest rally since 2005, amid signs of tightening supply.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate traded near a three-day high before data that may show a strengthening U.S. economy and as violence escalated in northern Iraq, OPEC’s second-biggest crude producer. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold traded below a two-month high as investors weighed the outlook for the U.S. economy that shrank in the first quarter by the most in five years.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Unemployment Claims, Core PCE Price Index m/m, Personal Spending m/m, Personal Income m/m, Natural Gas Storage.

AGRI COMMODITY	BULLION COMMODITY
CSCHANA(JULY) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:2788 SUP2:2760 RESIST1:2876 RESIST2:2935 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS	CSCOPPER(JUNE) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:415 SUP2:412 RESIST1:423 RESIST2:424 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CSJEERA(JULY) OVERVIEW: TREND BULLISH SUP1:11225 SUP2:11150 RESIST1:11650 RESIST2:11750 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS	CSCRUDE(JULY) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:6370 SUP2:6340 RESIST1:6475 RESIST2:6500 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CSTURMERIC(JULY) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:6470 SUP2:6316 RESIST1:6710 RESIST2:6870 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS	CSGOLD(AUG) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:27400 SUP2:27100 RESIST1:27900 RESIST2:28300 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CSSOYABEAN(JULY) OVERVIEW: TREND BEARISH SUP1:3890 SUP2:3845 RESIST1:4020 RESIST2:4050 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE	CSSILVER(JULY) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:43840 SUP2:43000 RESIST1:45000 RESIST2:45700 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS

INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK-26 June 2014

INDIAN BENCHMARK started on a negative note on the last day of the June series weighed down by weakness in oil & gas heavyweights as the government maintained status quo on gas prices for another three months.

FURTHER,Dr Reddy’s Laboratories announced that it launched Paricalcitol Capsules in the US market following approval from the United States Food & Drug Administration. Crompton Greaves along with the other consortium partners Fabricom and Iemants, has been selected by Van Oord, for the offshore wind project `Gemini' in the Netherlands.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Wednesday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 433cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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TOP CORPORATE NEWS-25 June 2014

Finance Minister extends excise cut for auto, cap goods till Dec 31
Finance Minister Arun Jaitley announced the decision to continue with low excise duty for six months till December 31 for auto, consumer durables and capital goods sector. The declaration spiked auto shares in the last 10 minutes of trade with Maruti and Bajaj Auto closing the day with near 3 percent gains.

Cox and Kings promoters release pledged shares
The promoter group of Cox and Kings Ltd., Sneh Sadan Graphic Services Ltd., Urshila Kerkar and Liz Investments has released 20.32 lakhs shares from pledge, which comprises 1.48% of the total share capital of the company.

RCom plans to raise Rs 4,300 cr
Reliance Communications plans to raise Rs 4,300 crore by way of a qualified institutional placement (QIP) of shares and a preferential offer to promoters. The telco will use the proceeds to repay debt.

L & T Finance enters into agreement with AMW Motors
AMW Motors Ltd. AMW announced that the Company had entered into an agreement with L & T Finance to provide competitive retail financing options for its range of medium and heavy haulage vehicles and tippers.

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