DAILY COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY-1 Aug 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: London copper eased on Friday after a rout on Wall Street over Argentinian default soured risk appetite and ahead of a deluge of economic indicators out later in the session, including an assessment of activity in China's vast manufacturing sector.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate fell for a fifth day after capping the biggest monthly decline in more than two years amid signs of weaker fuel demand in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold headed for a third weekly loss in the longest run of declines since September as U.S. employment data may add to signs that the world’s largest economy is gaining traction.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Manufacturing PMI, PPI q/q, HSBC Final Manufacturing PMI, BOJ Gov Kuroda Speaks, Manufacturing PMI, Non-Farm Employment Change, Unemployment Rate, Average Hourly Earnings m/m, Core PCE Price Index m/m, Personal Spending m/m, Personal Income m/m, Final Manufacturing PMI, Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment, Revised UoM Inflation Expectations, ISM Manufacturing PMI, Construction Spending m/m, ISM Manufacturing Prices, Total Vehicle Sales.

AGRI COMMODITY	BULLION COMMODITY
CS CHANA (AUGUST) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:2740 SUP2:2695 RESIST1:2840 RESIST2:2926 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE	CS COPPER (AUG) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:432 SUP2:428 RESIST1:438 RESIST2:440 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CS JEERA (AUGUST) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:11040 SUP2:10970 RESIST1:11570 RESIST2:11780 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE	CS CRUDE (AUGUST) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:5950 SUP2:5930 RESIST1:6084 RESIST2:6145 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
CS TURMERIC (AUGUST) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:6370 SUP2:6300 RESIST1:6490 RESIST2:6572 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS	CS GOLD (AUG) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:27600 SUP2:27300 RESIST1:28100 RESIST2:28400 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
CS SOYABEAN (OCTOBER) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:3580 SUP2:3500 RESIST1:3704 RESIST2:3750 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE	CS SILVER (SEPTEMBER) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:43600 SUP2:42900 RESIST1:44800 RESIST2:45300 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE

BSE Sensex, Nifty lose 1%; M&M, NTPC, HDFC laggards

 

Indian Equity Benchmark Selling continues at Dalal Street Friday dragging the Sensex down 155.16 points or at 25739.81. The Nifty is down 53.65 points at 7667.65. About 309 shares have advanced, 708 shares declined, and 40 shares are unchanged.

Infosys, Cipla, TCS, Wipro and Bharti Airtel are top gainers in the Sensex. Among the losers are M&M, GAIL, HDFC and NTPC.

The Indian rupee opened weak. The rupee slipped 20 paise at 60.75 per dollar versus 60.55 Thursday. The dollar holds steady near its highs ahead of the crucial jobs data in the u-s today

Pramit Brahmbhatt of Veracity said, “Investors are expected to trade watchfully till the credit policy is announced, though the positive sentiments may support the market.The rupee is expected to trade range bound to slightly strong after yesterdays fall. Range for the day is seen between 60-61/dollar."

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CS ROCKING PERFORMANCE OF THE DAY

STOCK FUTURES:

FUTURES INTRADAY:
ARVIND LTD FUTURE SELL CALL 3TGT
UPL LTD FUTURE BUY CALL 3TGT
IRB INFRA FUTURE BUY CALL 2TGT
HCL TECH FUTURE SELL CALL 1TGT
NTPC FUTURE SELL CALL COST EXIT
MARUTI FUTURE SELL CALL COST EXIT

NIFTY FUTURES:
NIFTY FUTURES SELL CALL 2TGT

OPTION:
DABUR INDIA 200 CALL BUY CALL 3 TG
AUROBINDO PHARMA 680 CALL 1TGT
CIPLA 450 CALL BUY CALL 1TGT

STOCK CASH:

STOCK CASH INTRADAY:
SUN TV BUY CALL 3 TG
INDOCO REMEDIES BUY CALL 3TGT
ABAN OFFSHORE BUY CALL 2TGT.

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DAILY COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY-31st JULY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: 

London copper was underpinned on Thursday by indications that the U.S. Federal Reserve is not hurrying to raise interest rates, even as the world's top economy logged robust second quarter growth that brightened the outlook for demand.

ENERGY WRAP: 

West Texas Intermediate crude dropped to a two-week low after a government report showed that U.S. gasoline supplies gained as demand slipped.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: 

Gold retreated for a fourth day to head for a monthly decline as further signs that the U.S. recovery is gaining momentum strengthened the case for higher borrowing costs in the world’s largest economy.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: 

Building Approvals m/m, CPI Flash Estimate y/y, Challenger Job Cuts y/y, GDP m/m, Unemployment Claims, Employment Cost Index q/q, Chicago PMI, Natural Gas Storage.

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BULLIONS COMMODITY	AGRI COMMODITY
CS COPPER (AUG) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:428 SUP2:425 RESIST1:435 RESIST2:438 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000	CS CHANA (AUGUST) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:2840 SUP2:2795 RESIST1:2900 RESIST2:2926 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
CS CRUDE (AUGUST) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:6010 SUP2:5950 RESIST1:6150 RESIST2:6250 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000	CS JEERA (AUGUST) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:11100 SUP2:11000 RESIST1:11570 RESIST2:11780 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
CS GOLD (AUG) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:27600 SUP2:27300 RESIST1:28100 RESIST2:28400 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000	CS TURMERIC (AUGUST) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:6370 SUP2:6300 RESIST1:6600 RESIST2:6700 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
CS SILVER (SEPTEMBER) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:43600 SUP2:42900 RESIST1:44800 RESIST2:45300 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000	CS SOYABEAN (OCTOBER) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:3580 SUP2:3500 RESIST1:3650 RESIST2:3700 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

Sensex, Nifty flat on July series expiry; ITC, Bharti gain

Markets open flat; Axis Bank, Hindalco dip 1%
Benchmark indices have opened flat with a negative bias on caution ahead of the expiry of July derivative contracts due later in the day.

HCL Tech ’s fourth quarter (April-June) net profit rose 13 percent quarter-on-quarter to Rs 1834 crore, ahead of a CNBC-TV18 poll estimate of Rs 1611 crore. Quarterly revenues were up 1 percent sequentially to Rs 8424 crore, compared to the poll estimate of Rs 84448.2 crore.

The market is flat on July series F&O expiry day. The Sensex is down 34.99 points at 26052.43 and the Nifty is down 15.95 points at 7775.45. About 423 shares have advanced, 295 shares declined, and 37 shares are unchanged.

The Indian rupee has opened lower at 60.24 a dollar, down 18 paise compared to previous day's closing value of 60.06 per dollar.Mohan Shenoi, Kotak Mahindra Bank said FOMC policy decision was in-line with market expectation.

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ROCKING PERFORMANCE OF THE DAY

STOCK FUTURES:

FUTURES INTRADAY:
ARVIND LTD FUTURE BUY CALL 3TGT
UPL LTD FUTURE BUY CALL 3TGT
BHARTI AIRTEL FUTURE BUY CALL 2TGT
HUL FUTURE BUY CALL 1TGT
HAVELLS INDIA FUTURES SELL CALL BOOKED AT 1165
BHARAT FORGE FUTURE BUY CALL SL TRIGRRED

PREMIUM FUTURES:
TATA MOTORS FUTURE SELL CALL SL TRIGRRED

NIFTY FUTURES:
BANK NIFTY FUTURES BUY CALL 1 TG
NIFTY FUTURES SELL CALL BOOKED AT 7711

OPTION:
ARVIND LTD 225 CALL BUY CALL 3 TG
IDEA 150 CALL BUY CALL 3 TG
TATA MOTORS 450 PUT BUY CALL 1 TG

OPTION PREMIUM:
ARVIND LTD 230 CALL BUY CALL 3 TG
HUL 680 CALL BUY CALL 1 TG

STOCK CASH:

STOCK CASH INTRADAY:
INDICO REMEDIES BUY CALL 3 TG
COX & KING BUY CALL 1TGT (BOOKED AT 276.40),
APOLLO TYRE SELL CALL EXIT AT 171.50.

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Sensex, Nifty snap 2-day fall; Bharti up 5%; L&T tanks 7%

Indian Equity benchmarks bounced back after two-day fall. The 30-share BSE Sensex jumped 96.19 points to close at 26087.42 while the 50-share NSE Nifty rallied 42.70 points to 7791.40 ahead of expiry of July derivative contracts.

About 1403 shares have advanced, 1488 shares declined, and 121 shares are unchanged.

Bharti Airtel topped the buying list, up 5 percent followed by Hero Motocorp, ICICI Bank, Hindalco, HDFC, Lupin, PNB, Kotak Mahindra Bank and DLF with 2-4.5 percent.

However, L&T dropped over 7 percent post weak earnings in Q1.

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TOP CORPORATE NEWS-30th JULY 2014

Pharma stocks on a roll; CNX Pharma index hits new high
Shares of pharmaceutical companies continued their upward march with the National Stock Exchange CNX Pharma index hitting a new high after most companies comprising the index reporting a strong earnings growth for the quarter ended June 30, 2014 (Q1).

Lupin surges 5% as Q1 profit beats estimates; stock hits new high
Lupin has surged 5% to Rs 1,175, also its new high on National Stock Exchange, after reporting a better-than-expected 56% year-on-year (y-o-y) jump in net profit at Rs 625 crore for the quarter ended June 2014 (Q1), on back of strong growth in the US and in India. The pharmaceutical company had profit of Rs 401 crore in the same quarter last fiscal.

ITC hits two month high on good Q1 numbers
ITC is trading 1.4% higher at Rs 362 on BSE after its cigarette business’ revenues grew 18.8% year-on-year (yoy) to Rs 4,201 crore and Ebit (earnings before interest and tax) margin up 142 basis points to 64.8% for the quarter ended June 2014 (Q1).

Tata Motors falls 9% in three-days as JLR cuts prices in China
Tata Motors is trading lower by 2.3% at Rs 443, extending its past two-days fall, on reports that Jaguar Land Rover (JLR) has reduced its prices on three of its high end models in response to an pricing and anti-monopoly investigation in China.

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DAILY COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY-30th JULY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: 

Copper prices slipped on Tuesday, as prospects of growing supplies overshadowed encouraging signs of health in the global economy, and zinc retreated after hovering near three-year highs on expectations of a tightening market.

ENERGY WRAP: 

West Texas Intermediate crude traded near the lowest price in two weeks before government data that may signal the strength of fuel consumption in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil user. Brent fell in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: 

Gold traded near the lowest level this week and was poised for a monthly decline as signs that U.S. economic growth is gaining momentum countered haven demand from increased tension in Ukraine and Gaza.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: 

German Prelim CPI m/m, ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, Advance GDP q/q, Advance GDP Price Index q/q, Crude Oil Inventories, FOMC Statement, Federal Funds Rate.

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AGRI COMMODITY	BULLIONS COMMODITY
CS CHANA (AUGUST) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:2795 SUP2:2740 RESIST1:2900 RESIST2:2926 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000	CS COPPER (AUG) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:428 SUP2:425 RESIST1:434 RESIST2:438 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
CS JEERA (AUGUST) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:11250 SUP2:11000 RESIST1:11620 RESIST2:11780 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000	CS CRUDE (AUGUST) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:6010 SUP2:5950 RESIST1:6230 RESIST2:6300 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
CS TURMERIC (AUGUST) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:6370 SUP2:6316 RESIST1:6600 RESIST2:6700 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000	CS GOLD (AUG) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:27600 SUP2:27300 RESIST1:28100 RESIST2:28400 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
CS SOYABEAN (OCTOBER) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:3630 SUP2:3580 RESIST1:3750 RESIST2:3860 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000	CS SILVER (SEPTEMBER) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:43600 SUP2:42900 RESIST1:44800 RESIST2:45300 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

Sensex, Nifty flat; Bharti Airtel & ITC gain; L&T tanks 8%

Macquarie maintains hold rating on the stock and target price (Rs 325). "Bharti remains preferred pick in the Indian telecom sector on account of its stronger cashflows and better competitive position," the brokerage said in its note.

Larsen and Toubro (L&T) has tanked  nearly 8% to Rs 1,512 on National Stock Exchange after reporting the consolidated net profit of Rs 967 crore for the quarter ended June 2014 (Q1), mainly on account of one-time gain of Rs 249 crore on disinvestments and stake sale in one of its project.

Bharti Airtel is trading 3.4% higher at Rs 366 on National Stock Exchange after reporting 61% year-on-year jump in consolidated net profit at Rs 1,108 crore for the first quarter ended June 30 2014 (Q1), backed by a 74% rise in mobile data revenue. The country’s largest cell phone operator had profit of Rs 689 crore in the corresponding quarter last year.

Last week, Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) crossed the Rs 5 lakh crore market capitalisation mark. This is more than the combined market cap of rival information technology companies Infosys (Rs 1,92,198 crore), Wipro (Rs 1,40,481 crore) and HCL Technologies (Rs 1,07,878 crore).

Stocks of government probables for divestment or stake sale such as Steel Authority of India (SAIL), Mahanagar Telephone Nigam (MTNL), National Aluminium Company (Nalco) and Container Corporation (Concor) have outperformed the markets in the past one year.

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK-29 JULY 2014

Markets closed on account of Id-Ul-Fitr
Yesterday, the Nifty slipped and closed at its lowest level since July 21 at 7,749. The Sensex was off 0.5% to close at 25,991. On Wednesday, Bank of India, Bharat Forge, Dr Reddy’s Lab, IRB Infra,  Lupin are likely to announce their earnings.

Markets fall to 1-week closing low
The BSE Sensex and Nifty fell on Monday to their lowest close in a week, as profit-taking hit shares of blue-chips such as ICICI Bank for a consecutive session after the record highs of last week.

Moody's to upgrade ratings of Tata Steel, British arm
Moody's Investors Service today said it has put Tata Steel's corporate family rating of Ba3 and British arm's corporate family rating of B3 on review for upgrade, following the successful sale of unrated debt worth $1.5 billion last week.

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ROCKING PERFORMANCE OF THE DAY

 

STOCK FUTURES:

FUTURES INTRADAY:
TATA MOTORS DVR FUTURE SELL CALL 3TGT
CESC FUTURE SELL CALL 3TGT
DLF FUTURE SELL CALL 3TGT
PFC FUTURE SELL CALL 1TGT
HUL FUTURES BUY CALL 1TGT
SUN TV FUTURES SELL CALL 1TGT
PNB FUTURES BUY CALL
HCL TECH FUTURE BUY CALL COST EXIT

PREMIUM FUTURES:
TATA MOTORS DVR FUTURE SELL CALL 3TGT

NIFTY FUTURES:
BANK NIFTY FUTURES SELL CALL 2 TG
NIFTY FUTURES SELL CALL 1 TG

OPTION:
DLF 200 PUT BUY CALL 3 TG
TCS 2500 CALL BUY CALL 1 TG

STOCK CASH:

STOCK CASH INTRADAY:
ARVIND LTD SELL CALL 3 TG
GRANULES INDIA SELL CALL 2TGT

STOCK CASH PREMIUM:
GLENMARK PHARMA BUY CALL 1TGT

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Sensex closed below 26000 level....Nifty dropped 41.75 points to 7748.70

Indian Equity benchmarks started off the week on negative note, falling for the second consecutive session on Monday weighed down by banks and oil & gas stocks but FMCG major Hindustan Unilever bucked the trend post strong Q1 earnings

Sensex closed below 26000 level, down 135.52 points to 25991.23 and the 50-share NSE Nifty dropped 41.75 points to 7748.70 while the BSE Midcap and Smallcap indices were down 0.4-0.7 percent.

Coal India, India’s largest coal mining company, was the biggest loser in Sensex, down 3 percent after media report suggested that the government is looking to lower the e-auction volumes by more than half to 25 million tonne, which will impact profitability of the company.

Shares of Reliance Industries, ICICI Bank, Tata Motors, ONGC, Tata Steel and Hindalco Industries were prominent losers, down 1.4-2 percent. TCS and HDFC Bank fell over 0.6 percent.

Sun Pharma and BHEL gained more than a percent followed by Infosys, Wipro and HDFC with 0.2-0.9 percent.

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TOP CORPORATE NEWS-28 July 2014

Vijaya Bank Q1 profit up 21% at Rs 161.5 cr
Vijaya Bank reported a 21 percent jump in its April-June quarter (Q1FY15) net profit at Rs 161.5 crore versus Rs 132.5 crore, Net interest income of the bank rose 11 percent to Rs 535.5 crore against Rs 481 crore.

TCS which had gained 6.6% last week was trading 0.6% lower.
Tata Motors extended losses and was down 2% after its overseas arm Jaguar Land Rover agreed to lower prices of three of its car models in China by five-seven per cent after being told it was overcharging. Prices of the Range Rover V8, Range Rover Sports V8 and Jaguar F-Type will be reduced by an average of 200,000 yuan (Rs 20.4 lakh) from August 1. Every fourth car made by Jaguar Land Rover is sold in China.

Havells Q1 profit rises 13%, Sylvania net at euro 0.3 mn
Havells India 's first quarter (April-June) standalone net profit grew 13 percent at Rs 107 crore compared to Rs 94.7 crore in same quarter last year on account of strong revenue but impacted by higher expenses and tax cost.

HUL gains 4% as Q1 profit beats estimates
Hindustan Unilever (HUL) has moved higher by nearly 4% to Rs 688, bouncing back 5% from intra-day low, after reporting a better-than-expected 3.7% year-on-year (yoy) jump in net profit at Rs 1,057 crore for the quarter ended June 30, 2014 (Q1), on back of strong volume growth.

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DAILY COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY-28 july 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper dropped for a second day after Freeport-McMoRan Inc. received approval from Indonesia to resume exports from its Grasberg mine.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude fell for the fourth time in five days amid speculation that economic data may signal slowing growth in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent also dropped in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Hedge funds increased their bets on a gold rally, just before prices fell for a second week as an accelerating U.S. economy outweighed concern that violence between Russia and Ukraine will escalate.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Flash Services PMI, Pending Home Sales m/m.

AGRI COMMODITY	BULLION COMMODITY
CS CHANA (AUGUST) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:2795 SUP2:2740 RESIST1:2900 RESIST2:2926 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE	CS COPPER (AUG) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:430 SUP2:425 RESIST1:437 RESIST2:440 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CS JEERA (AUGUST) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:11250 SUP2:11000 RESIST1:11620 RESIST2:11780 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE	CS CRUDE (AUGUST) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:6090 SUP2:6010 RESIST1:6230 RESIST2:6300 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
CS TURMERIC (AUGUST) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:6420 SUP2:6316 RESIST1:6600 RESIST2:6700 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS	CS GOLD (AUG) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:27550 SUP2:27300 RESIST1:28100 RESIST2:28400 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CS SOYABEAN (OCTOBER) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:3660 SUP2:3600 RESIST1:3750 RESIST2:3860 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE	CS SILVER (SEPTEMBER) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:43600 SUP2:42900 RESIST1:44800 RESIST2:45300 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE

Sensex, Nifty flat; TCS, Tata Motors slip; JP Power up 5%

The market opened on a flat note on Monday despite positive Asian cues. The Sensex fell 9.87 points to 26116.88 and the Nifty declined 5.40 points to 7785.05.About 536 shares have advanced, 363 shares declined, and 39 shares are unchanged.

TCS, Tata Motors, Ambuja Cements, ACC, BPCL, Coal India and Bharti Airtel declined 0.7-1.8 percent whereas Sun Pharma, Hero Motocorp, PNB, Sesa Sterlite, Tata Steel, Infosys, Cairn India and Axis Bank gained 0.5-1.8 percent.

The Indian rupee opened flat at 60.09 per dollar on Monday as against Friday's closing value of 60.10 a dollar.The dollar is stronger versus the euro and the Swiss Franc, while flat versus the yen. The dollar index is higher at the 81 mark.

“The government too has been actively following up on its budget announcements, something we expect will continue in the coming months. We reiterate our positive stance and continue to remain buyers on dips,”

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