Wednesday, December 31, 2014

DAILY COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY-1 Jan 2015

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BULLION

Gold February and Silver March futures are trading marginally higher at $ 1,184.10 and $ 15.695, respectively.Platinum January contract is trading on a flat note at $ 1,209.15.

ENERGY

Crude Oil February contract has has shed 0.7 per cent at $ 53.73.Brent Oil February future is trading almost unchanged at $ 57.73.Natural Gas February delivery is down 0.05 per cent at $ 2.916.

The MCX January for Natural Gas futures slipped for the second straight day. On the last day on the year 2014, the energy futures ended with a significant loss of 4.2 per cent to Rs 198 owing to sharp fall in NYMEX Natural Gas prices.

The MCX Crude Oil January futures slipped back into the negative territory on the last day of year 2014. Yesterday, the energy futures slipped to a low of Rs 3,344, before closing with a significant loss of 1.6 per cent (Rs 54) to Rs 3,369 following NYMEX Crude prices and strength in the Indian rupee.

BASE METAL

Copper March contract is trading unchanged at $ 2.827.

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The Indian rupee was under pressure, falling 22 paise to 63.25 a dollar.

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The market continued to trade lower on mild profit booking on the very first day of the year 2015. The Sensex fell 47.59 points to 27451.83 and the Nifty declined 14.60 points to 8268.10 while the broader markets outperformed frontline indices.

The BSE Midcap and Smallcap indices gained 0.5 percent
each. About two shares advanced for every share declining on the Bombay Stock Exchange. The Nifty is expected to oscillate between 7,600 on the downside and 9,500 on the upside, according to Amit Gupta of ICICI Direct.

Shares of HDFC, Reliance Industries, HDFC Bank, ITC,
ICICI Bank, Infosys, NTPC, Dr Reddy's Labs, Coal India, Sesa Sterlite, Hindalco Industries and HUL were down 0.3-1 percent. However, SBI, Cipla, Maruti Suzuki, Sun Pharma, BHEL and Tata Power bucked the trend, gaining 0.3-1 percent.

HDFC, Infosys, ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank and Reliance are the major draggers accounting for a loss of 45 points on the Sensex.

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK-1 Jan 2015

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INDIAN BENCHMARK are likely to open year 2015 on a mixed note as the major global markets remain closed on account of New Year.                            

FURTHER, IOC website hacked by Turkish group
Glenmark gets shareholders' nod to raise up to $300 million
Sebi passes over Rs750-cr disgorgement order

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyer of Rs 481.08 cr in the cash segment on Thursday  while the DIIs were net seller of Rs.-30.55 cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET WRAP UP-31 Dec 2014

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INDIAN BENCHMARK  rises, posts best yearly gain in five years

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS  rose on Wednesday, ending a record-setting year with hopes that the momentum would sustain in 2015 should the government announce additional economic reforms and the central bank start cutting interest rates. The S&P BSE Se nsex and CNX Nifty ended 0.35%-0.42% higher each.

Bajaj Corp gains on shareholders’ approval to raise FII limit
Wockhardt falls on voluntarily recalling
Stock Update: Growth outlook remains strong

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 8375 and above this 8485. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 8280 and next support will be 8215.

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ROCKING PERFORMANCE OF THE DAY

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STOCK FUTURES:

FUTURES INTRADAY
STRIDES ARCOLAB FUTURE BUY CALL 3 TG
SKS MICRO FINANCE BUY CALL 3 TG 
MOTHERSON SUMI FUTURE BUY CALL 1 TG 
ADANIPORT FUTURE  BUY CALL  COST EXIT
YES BANK FUTURE BUY CALL COST EXIT

PREMIUM FUTURES
SKS MICRO FINANCE FUTURE BUY CALL 2 TG
M&M FINANCE FUTURE BUY CALL 1 TG 
JSW ENERGY FUTURE BUY CALL SL TRIGRRED

OPTION:
M&M FINANCE 32O CALL COST EXIT
SKS MICROFINANCE 410 CALL SL TRIGRRED

OPTION PREMIUM:
AMTEK AUTO BUY 170 CALL 3TG

STOCK CASH:

STOCK CASH INTRADAY:
ATUL AUTO BUY CALL 1 TG
JUBLFOOD BUY CALL COST EXIT

STOCK CASH PREMIUM:
MIND TREE BUY CALL 1 TG

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TOP CORPORATE NEWS-31 Dec 2014

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Lupin gets tentative approval for HIV drug Prezista
Lupin has got USFDA’s tentative approval to market generic versions of Janssen Products’(Janssen) HIV drug- Prezista. The drug generates an annual sales of US$1.2bn in US. The drug is protected by patent up to May 09, 2017.However, Lupin along with other players like Mylan and Teva have challenged the patent in court after filing ANDA through Para-IV route.  The development is sentimentally positive for the company.

HUL sells it’s headquarter in south Mumbai to HDFC
Hindustan Unilever sold it’s headquarter in south Mumbai to HDFC for Rs300crore (two stage transaction was sign between the two party in 2012); in-line with company’s plans to hive off non-core assets for operational benefits – neutral for the stock

Bosch suspends manufacturing operations at Nashik plant
Bosch announced that with a view to adjust production to meet the demand for products and to avoid unnecessary buildup of inventory, it is proposed to suspend the manufacturing operations at the Company's Nashik plant on December 31, 2014.

Atul Auto gains on bulk deals
Shares of Atul Auto gained nearly 8%, touching to Rs684.5, after Goldman Sachs bought a total of 4.05 lakh shares of the company in bulk deals on BSE yesterday,  (December 30, 2014).
Goldman Sachs Asset Mgmt A/C Goldman Sachs Emerging Mkt Eq Fund bought 1.54 lakh shares of Atul Auto at Rs 616.40 per share yesterday, December 30, 2014. Goldman Sachs India Fund bought 2.5 lakh shares of the company at Rs616.40 per share

JSW Holdings gains after seeking shareholders' nod
JSW Holdings dipped over 5%, touching to Rs998.65, after the company sought shareholders' nod for financial transactions worth Rs 2500 crore with various entities, including group firm JSW Steel.
JSW Holdings sought shareholders' nod for making investments in the securities of other corporates bodies, give loans, guarantees and provide securities for any loan facility to be availed by the other companies not exceeding Rs2500 crore.

Centre earmarks Rs3199.45 crore for power transmission
The Centre has earmarked Rs3199.45 crore for Arunachal Pradesh and Sikkim to undertake a comprehensive project for strengthening of power transmission and distribution systems to create reliable state power grid and its connectivity to the upcoming load centres. Positive for power transmission & distribution EPC and equipment suppliers

BHEL forms consortium with MIdhani and HSL
In line with the government’s ‘Make in India’ initiative, three companies - Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited (BHEL), Mishra Dhatu Nigam Limited (Midhani) and Hindustan Shipyards Limited ( HSL) have come together to form a consortium for building submarines indigenously.BHEL has been a reliable supplier of strategic equipment and services to Indian Defence and Paramilitary forces in the past and HSL is a defence PSU engaged in ship building, repairs and submarine retrofit while Midhani is engaged in development and manufacture of a wide range of super alloys and special-purpose steel for applications in defence, aerospace and atomic energy.

SpiceJet declines after extending flight cancellations
SpiceJet fell nearly 6%, touching to Rs16.75,  after the company extended its flight cancellations till 31 January 2015, affecting at least 329 flights.

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Tuesday, December 30, 2014

DAILY COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY-31 Dec 2014

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BULLION

Gold February future has added 0.2 per cent at $ 1,202.50.Silver March future has declined 0.2 per cent at $ 16.240.Platinum January contract is trading on a flat note at $ 1,218.05.

ENERGY

Crude Oil February contract has moved down 0.6 per cent at $ 53.83.Brent Oil February future is marginally down at $ 57.55.Natural Gas February delivery has moved up 0.2 per cent at $ 3.100.

The MCX Crude Oil January futures ended in green for the first time in last three trading sessions. The buying in the energy futures was on account of bargain-hunting at lower level and pull-back in NYMEX Crude Oil prices.

The MCX Natural Gas January futures slipped back into the negative territory, and have wiped out half of its Mondays losses.  Yesterday, the energy futures ended with a significant loss of over 3 per cent at Rs 197 owing to sharp fall in NYMEX Natural Gas market despite cold weather outlook

BASE METAL

Copper March contract is trading flat at $ 2.855.

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Nifty opens below 8250; M&M, Maruti, Bajaj Auto weak

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The market has opened last trading day of 2014 on a very flat note. The Sensex is down 6.06 points at 27397.48 and the Nifty down 2.55 points at 8245.70. About 334 shares have advanced, 197 shares declined, and 38 shares are unchanged.

M&M, Maruti, Bajaj Auto, BHEL and Hero Moto are major laggards in the Sensex. Among the gainers are HDFC, Tata Steel, Bharti Airtel, SBI and Axis Bank.

The Indian rupee opened with marginal gain of 7 paise at 63.31 per dollar versus 63.38 a dollar on Tuesday.

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK-31 Dec 2014

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INDIAN BENCHMARKS are likely to open on a positive note as the global cues look supportive. SGX Nifty is trading 25.50 points higher.

FURTHER,  Wockhardt, Cadila, Hospira recall drugs in the US.
L&T bags contracts worth Rs2,521 crore in Dec.
Sebi allows exit of Ludhiana Stock Exchange as bourse.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 277.92 cr in the cash segment on Tuesday while the DIIs were net buyers of Rs. 160.87 cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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ROCKING PERFORMANCE OF THE DAY

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STOCK FUTURES:

FUTURES INTRADAY
JSW ENERGY  FUTURE BUY  CALL  2 TG 
SYNDICATE BANK  FUTURE  BUY  CALL  1 TG
CAIRN  INDIA  FUTURE  SELL  CALL  1 TG
JSW STEEL  FUTURE SELL CALL  COST EXIT
SESA STERLITE  FUTURE  SELL  COST EXIT

PREMIUM FUTURES
ANDHRA BANK FUTURE BUY CALL  1 TG

NIFTY FUTURES:
BANK NIFTY FUTURE BUY CALL 3TG

OPTION:
ADANI PORT  BUY  300  CALL 3  TG
ALLAHABAD BANK  BUY 130   CALL 1  TG
LICHSG   BUY  420  CALL 1  TG

OPTION PREMIUM:
ANDHRA BANK BUY CALL  3 TG

STOCK CASH:

STOCK CASH INTRADAY:
ABAN OFFSHORE  BUY  CALL 3 TG
TUBE INVESTMENTS  BUY CALL 3 TG
YES BANK  BUY  CALL  3 TG
GIC HOUSING  BUY CALL  1 TG
HAVELLS INDIA BUY  CALL  SL TRIGGERED

STOCK CASH PREMIUM:
ABAN OFFSHORE  BUY  CALL 3 TG
ATUL  AUTO  BUY  CALL 1 TG  

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET WRAP UP-30 Dec 2014

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INDIAN BENCHMARKS , Tepid trade, low volumes; minor gains

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS ended flat on weaker regional shares offset optimism over additional reforms a day after the government passed an executive order to ease land-acquisition rules. The S&P  BSE Se nsex and CNX Nifty ended 0.03%-0.02% higher each.

Lanco Infratech rose 4.27%, after the firm said that its board passed circular resolution approving the allotment of 5.45 crore shares at an issue price of Rs6.23 per share to ICICI Bank as per CDR package for the firm.

Godrej Properties rose 3.25%, after the company said it has entered into an agreement with Godrej & Boyce to develop a new mixed-use project on the property at Pirojshanagar, Vikhroli West, Mumbai.

IDBI Bank rose 2.74%, after the bank said that its board has approved the sale of bank's part or whole shareholding of 48.18 lakh shares in Credit Analysis & Research in one or more lots.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 8370 and above this 8475. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 8275 and next support will be 8210.

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TOP CORPORATE NEWS-30 Dec 2014

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RBI plans to bring govt owned NBFCs under prudential regulations
RBI plans to bring govt owned NBFCs under prudential regulations—negative for PFC, REC ,RBI in its financial Stability reported suggested that there is need to bring government owned NBFCs ( PFC, REC etc) on par with regulations applicable to other NBFCs.Presently the framework on provisioning, capital adequacy, asset classification etc for government owned NBFCs is softer compared to other NBFCs.Going ahead if RBI implements this, it should result in higher provisioning burden or capital requirements for these NBFCs hence negative for PFC, REC.

RBI Financial Stability report: Macro issues improving
RBI Financial Stability report-Macro issues improving though reversal of flows remains risk, cautious on banking sector, Key points the reversal of external flows remains key risk with India economy. Asset quality of Banks may improve if economic revival continues. However if economy falters, the assets quality of banks may worsen. Close ties between top banks would leave the banking system especially vulnerable to contagion in case of trouble at a single institution.

Government to raise stake in IFCI to 51%
IFCI will now be back in the government fold as Union cabinet has approved Rs60-crore equity infusion in the entity to raise its shareholding to 51% from 47.93% at present. Under the present circumstances, the governments say in company will help to draft revival plan for the IFCI which is positive development.

Blue Star ties up with Eureka Forbes; stk up
Blue Star rose over 5%, touching to Rs327, after the company has agreed to collaborate with Eureka Forbes to launch water coolers with in-built purification. The partners are eyeing around Rs150-200 crore from this collaboration. The new line-up of storage water cooler with inbuilt purifier comprises four models - three models with UV purification and one model with RO purification technology.

L&T Construction wins orders worth Rs2521 Crores
L&T Construction Wins Orders Valued Rs2521 Crores – Positive for L&T, The Building & Factories business of L&T Construction has bagged orders worth Rs 2521 crores in the month of December 2014 in both the domestic & international markets. The key new orders include L&T Oman LLC (a subsidiary of L&T) won a order from the Ministry of Transport & Communications, Sultanate of Oman, for the construction of a new passenger terminal at Duqm Airport in Oman.

IDBI Bank gains 3% as Board approves stake sale in CARE
Shares of IDBI Bank gain nearly 3% on NSE after its Board approved stake sale in CARE—sentimentally positive Board of IDBI Bank has approved whole or part sale of 48 lakh shares (16.7% stake) held in rating agency CARE. The Bank has been trying to sell non-core investments (CARE,  NSE etc) to improve its capital position in the light of stringent Basel III regulations.

Bharti Airtel not to charge higher price for VoIP services
Bharti Airtel takes back its decision to charge higher price for its VoIP services Post the huge social outcry on differential and high VoIP charges plan announced by it, Bharti Airtel has withdrawn its plan for the same, and has stated that it is awaiting TRAI’s consultation paper relating to OTT services, and expects the regulator to come out with balanced outcome on the same

Tata Steel: Iron ore impacts production and profitability in Q3
Tata Steel, iron ore impacted production and profitability in the current quarter Company suspension of a blast furnace for over a month at its Jamshedpur facility for want of iron ore impacted production and profitability in the current quarter (Q3FY2015).For the current quarter, mining operations in Noamundi Iron Ore mine in Jharkhand was suspended for the entire period and four mines in Odisha including the Joda iron ore mine was suspended for a month. Sentimentally negative for Tata Steel.

TVS Motor, BMW import prototype parts for upcoming motorcycle
TVS Motor and BMW import prototype parts for upcoming motorcycle; positive developments for TVS Motor TVS Motor- BMW partnership have imported prototype parts for the development of their upcoming motorcycle.TVS Motor and BMW have entered in a partnership to develop an under 600 cc motorcycle. The vehicle is scheduled for launch in end CY2015. The development is positive for TVS Motor.

United Bank of India updates on proposes All India Bank strike
United Bank of India announced that the Bank is in receipt of a communication dated December 23, 2014 from Indian Bank's Association informing about a notice dated Dec 22, 2014 served by the Convenor, United Forum of Bank Unions informing to go on All India Bank Strikes on Jan 07, 2015 and January 21 to Jan 24, 2015 on demand of immediate settlement of wage revision and related matters. However, the Bank will take all reasonable steps to maintain undeterred services on the days of strike to the extent possible.

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Monday, December 29, 2014

DAILY COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY-30 Dec 2014

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BULLION

Gold February future has added 0.4 per cent at $ 1,187.20.Silver March future has gained 0.5 per cent at  $ 15.858.Platinum January contract has advanced 0.8 per cent at $ 1,208.90.

ENERGY

Crude Oil February contract is trading on a falt note at $ 53.57.Brent Oil February future is down 0.3  per cent at $ 57.80.Natural Gas February delivery is marginally down at $ 3.168.

The MCX Crude Oil January futures have been trading on a negative note for the third straight day, On Monday, the energy contracts tumbled as much as Rs 3,369, before settling with a significant loss of 3.7 per cent (Rs 133) to Rs 3,414 per barrel owing to sharp fall in NYMEX Crude Oil market.

The MCX January Natural Gas futures ended in positive territory for the first time in last six trading sessions. The buying in the energy futures was on account of bargain-hunting at lower level as the commodity had slumped over 17.5 per cent past six trading sessions.

BASE METAL

Copper March contract has moved up 0.7 per cent at $ 2.836.

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Sensex, Nifty flat; HUL, L&T, ICICI Bank early gainers

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The market has opened with some mild gains. The Sensex is up 37.03 points at 27432.76, and the Nifty is up 14.00 points at 8260.30. About 412 shares have advanced, 125 shares declined, and 18 shares are unchanged.

HUL, L&T, Tata Motors, Hindalco and ICICI Bank are top gainers in the Sensex. GAIL, Hero, HDFC Bank, Wipro and ONGC are among the laggards.

The Indian rupee opened marginally lower at 63.72 per dollar as against previous day's closing value of 63.67 a dollar.

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK-30 Dec 2014

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INDIAN BENCHMARK are likely to open on a flat note as the global cues look mixed. SGX Nifty is trading 12.50 points higher.

FURTHER, RINL gets Sebi's nod for IPO,L&T Hydrocarbon bags Rs894 cr offshore contract from ONGC,RBI eases norms for Indian companies investing abroad

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net sellers of Rs -204.22 cr in the cash segment on Tuesday  while the DIIs were net buyers of Rs.360.38 cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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ROCKING PERFORMANCE OF THE DAY

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STOCK FUTURES:

FUTURES INTRADAY
PETRONET FUTURE BUY CALL 3 TG 
ASIAN PAINT FUTURE BUY CALL 3 TG 767
SKS MICRO FINANCE FUTURE SELL CALL 2 TG 
GLENMARK PHARMA FUTURE SELL CALL 2 TG  
BHARAT FORGE BUY CALL BOOKED AT 951.80

PREMIUM FUTURES
MRF FUTURE SELL CALL 3TG
TVS MOTORS BUY CALL HOLD FOR TOMMOROW

NIFTY FUTURES:
BANK NIFTY SELL CALL 1TG
NIFTY FUTURE SELL CALL COST EXIT

STOCK CASH:

STOCK CASH INTRADAY:
ABAN OFFSHORE BUY CALL 3 TG
COX & KINGS SELL CALL 2 TG
CENTURYTEX BUY CALL 1 TG

STOCK CASH PREMIUM:
ABAN OFFSHORE BUY CALL 1 TG 

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET WRAP UP-29 Dec 2014

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INDIAN BENCHMARKS gain for second day as metals shine
                                                                                                                                  
INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS  rose for the second consecutive session on Monday, led by metals and mining firms such as Tata Steel on expectations the government would pass executive orders to ease land acquisition rules and auction minerals such as iron ore. The S&P BSE Sensex and CNX Nifty ended 0.57%-0.56% higher each.

Shares of Gujarat Pipavav Port soared 10% to Rs199, also is record high on ( NSE), on back of heavy volumes.

Career Point gains 11% on signing MOU with Govt of Rajasthan

Aban Offshore rallies 15% on rating upgrade

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 8375 and above this 8425. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 8285 and next support will be 8210.

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TOP CORPORATE NEWS-29 Dec 2014

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HDIL gets relief against FIR for SRA project; stock up
Shares of Housing Development & Infrastructure gained 3% at Rs70 after the company which challenged the F.I.R with regards to a SRA project in suburban Mumbai was granted ad-interim relief by the Bombay High Court. The stock opened at Rs68 and touched a high of Rs71.45 on NSE.

Govt eyes Rs3 lakh crore investments in power transmission business
With an ambitious target to give 24X7 electricity to all, the government is eyeing Rs3 lakh crore worth investments in power transmission and distribution business. During the last five years, opportunity from Power Grid was around Rs1 lakh crore. Hence if capex will flow in such large quantum in T&D space, it will unfold a huge opportunity for T&D EPC players and support equipment (transformer, cables & others) manufacturing

IOC to bag Rs2,800-crore Ennore-Tuticorin LNG pipeline project
Indian Oil Corporation is well positioned to bag the Rs2,800-crore Ennore-Tuticorin LNG pipeline project which will link its proposed Ennore LNG Terminal with the southern parts of Tamil Nadu and Bengaluru. Positive for the company.

Career Point gains 11% on signing MOU with Govt of Rajasthan
Career Point surged over 10% to Rs148 on NSE after the company said it has signed a memorandum of understanding ( MOU) with Rajasthan Skills and Livelihood Development Corporation (an undertaking of Government of Rajasthan) to impart skill development training. The stock opened at Rs136.50 and hit a high of Rs151.90 on NSE.

Andhra Pradesh plans to add 16000 MW of power generation capacity
Andhra Pradesh government is planning to add around 16000 MW of power generation capacity in the next five years, which includes capacity addition in thermal power (3,240 mw), central generating stations (1,949 mw), solar (3,150 mw), wind (7,030 mw) and other sources. Incremental opportunities for central power generators like NTPC and equipment suppliers like BHEL & others

L&T wins Rs894 crore order from ONGC
Shares in Larsen and Toubro (L&T) were trading higher by nearly 1% at Rs1,502 on NSE after the company said it has bagged an offshore contract valued at Rs894 crore from the Oil & Natural Gas Corporation ( ONGC).L&T Hydrocarbon Engineering (LTHE), a fully owned subsidiary of Larsen & Toubro, has bagged an offshore contract valued at Rs 894 crore from the Oil & Natural Gas Corporation ( ONGC) for additional development of the Vasai East project.

Lupin gets USFDA approval for HIV drug Epivir Tablets
Lupin has received US health regulator's approval to market a generic version of ViiV Healthcare's Epivir Tablets (generic name: Lamivudine tablets), used in treating HIV infection, in the US market.Epivir tablets are indicated in combination with other antiretroviral agents for the treatment of human immunodeficiency virus ( HIV-1) infection. Epivir generates near US$39.7mn annually in US market.

PM, FM, RBI governor to hold discussion with PSU Bank Chiefs
Prime Minister Narendra Modi along with FM Arun Jaitley, RBI Governor, Finance Secretary will hold discussions with chiefs of public sector banks on January 2nd and 3rd to work out an action plan for major reforms in the banking sector. Several issues are pending for PSU Banks like consolidation, capital raising, governance, asset Quality and some positive announcements may happened post the meeting. Therefore PSU Banks will be under focus over the next one week.

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Sunday, December 28, 2014

DAILY COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY-29 Dec 2014

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BULLION

Gold February and Silver March futures are trading on a flat note at $ 1,195.00 and $ 16.138, respectively.Platinum January contract is marginally down at $ 1,216.15.

ENERGY

Crude Oil February contract has rallied a per cent at $ 55.26.Brent Oil February futures has gained 0.4 per cent at $ 59.90.Natural Gas February delivery has moved up 0.3 per cent at $ 3.072.

After registering significant loss of over 18.4 per cent (Rs 43) in the last five trading session, the MCX Natural Gas December futures staged a smart recovery and ended on a flat note at Rs 192 on Friday, owing to its December contract expiry on 26 December.

BASE METAL

Copper March contract has advanced 0.7 per cent at $ 2.835.

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